Gas prices tomorrow
Signal for Tuesday, October 6, 2026
New York wholesale gasoline, in Canadian ¢ per litre: −7.9¢ from the September 30 close to the October 5 close.
Likely down for Tuesday, October 6: wholesale gasoline in New York has moved −7.9¢ a litre, in Canadian cents, over its last three closes.
Where you live decides how much that matters. In Nova Scotia and New Brunswick the regulator resets the cap on Fridays, PEI on Tuesdays and Fridays, and Newfoundland and Labrador Tuesday to Saturday (next order: Tuesday,October 6, 2026); a wholesale move reaches those pumps only through the next order. Atlantic price-setting days. Everywhere else retailers reprice on their own, usually within a day or two.
How often has this read been right? At 2¢ or more of wholesale movement, 85% of the time; at 1¢, 79% (355 of 450 days). Those scores come from 889 weekdays of Quebec's official daily averages, January 4, 2023 to August 31, 2026, counting only days when the average actually moved; no other province publishes a daily series to test against.
Keep one limit in mind: on 28% of strong-signal days, prices simply held.
Retail against wholesale
Questions
Will gas prices go down tomorrow?
The wholesale signal on October 5 reads: likely down for Tuesday, October 6. Historically, a 1¢ signal has had the direction right 79% of the time when prices moved.
Why do gas prices change overnight?
Retailers reprice from the rack (terminal) price, which changes every business day with the wholesale market; in the Atlantic provinces the regulator resets maximums on a fixed schedule.